Egypt's turbulence leaves four question marks to world

BEIJING, July 12 (Xinhua) -- Egypt's interim President Adli Mansour have recently launched a series of measures to head off violence and ease tensions, but the political situation in the country is still unstable.

Analysts said there are four question marks still overshadowed the political prospect of Egypt, and only if all sides give up violence and open up negotiation can the country avoid slipping into continuous turbulence.

QUESTION ONE: HOW MORSI WILL BE HANDLED?

Since Mohamed Morsi was overthrown by the military, his whereabouts had been unknown until Wednesday, when the Egyptian authorities finally released some latest information about him.

Foreign ministry spokesman Badr Abdelatty told reporters that the deposed president was currently being held in a "safe place, for his safety."

Analysts said under the turbulent situation, the Egyptian military may not let Morsi "show up" too early. Moreover, the military based its reason for his ouster on his "poor performance" in dealing with domestic crisis in the past year.

They said the way the military and transitional government handle Morsi will affect Egypt's political negotiation process, because Morsi didn't violate any law as a president elected in legitimate process.

QUESTION TWO: HOW WILL THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD STRIKE BACK?

The Egyptian authorities on Wednesday ordered the arrest of Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohamed Badie and several other senior members, accusing them of agitating violence in Cairo.

After the downfall of Morsi, Badie called on all his supporters to pledge their lives to safeguard him. The Brotherhood kept organizing large demonstrations to oppose the transitional government, calling for the restoration of Morsi's position as president.

Analysts said there are two options for the Brotherhood: to persist in rebellion or compromise and expect to make a comeback in the future parliamentary and presidential elections.

Choosing the first option will incur oppression from the military, which will do no good to the stabilization of Egypt's situation as well as the Brotherhood's political future.

However, judging from the current situation, the Brotherhood will not "swallow insult and humiliation silently" in short term.

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