Reform is the only way to tackle China's economic inequality and to increase the number of middle-income earners, economists and officials said at a recent forum on reform and development in Haikou, Hainan province.
"To achieve this goal, reform is the key. If substantial progress were made in reform, the following decade could see a moderate annual growth of 7 to 8 percent," said Gao Shangquan, honorary president of the China Society of Economic Reform, and a prominent policy adviser.
If the opportunity to reform were to be missed, China could fall into the middle-income trap, Gao warned, adding that "greater political guts and wisdom" were needed to further the reform.
These days, "income distribution" has become a buzzword in China, after the State Council in October said it would draft a plan to reform the current income distribution system. The public's expectations were further raised when President Hu Jintao said in his speech to the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China that per capita income should double by 2020.
"The income should not be doubled on the basis of current income disparity, but to enlarge the middle-income group," said Chi Fulin, president of the China Institute of Reform and Development, which hosted the forum.
But a central problem emerges: How does one define the middle-income group?
Wang Yuan, a fellow researcher with the Institute for Economic Research under the National Development and Reform Commission, said if we divide the income equally into several groups - for example, Group A earns zero to 25,000 yuan ($3,968) each year; Group B, 25,001 to 50,000 yuan, etc - and count the number of Chinese in each group, we would see there are too many low-income people in China and too few middle- and high-income people. In developed economies, this should be a Gaussian curve in which most people are concentrated in the middle.
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