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China's economy picking up steam

By Lan Xinzhen (Beijing Review)

11:03, November 27, 2012

After seven consecutive quarters of slow growth, a turnaround is underway

"The Chinese economy is like a train without a locomotive, losing power all of a sudden and just gliding forward with inertia." This is how some Chinese people have described their economy over the past two years. Now the train is beginning to whistle. After seven quarters of slower-than-usual growth, a reversal appears underway.

According to figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), industrial output started picking up in September and October, with a rise of 9.2 percent and 9.6 percent, against 8.6 percent in August.

The troika of economic growth—retail sale of consumer goods, foreign trade and fixed assets investment—are gaining steam. Stephen Green, an analyst at Standard Chartered Bank, said the Chinese economy is in a U-shaped recovery.

By now the possibility of a "hard landing" can be ruled out, which is undoubtedly good news for the global economy.

Although the improvement is moderate, the general curve shows a steady upturn, making economists optimistic about the future of the Chinese economy.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said in a report on November 9 that the United States is expected to cede its place as the world's largest economy to China as early as 2016. The organization also says China's economy is likely to overtake the euro zone's this year.

The research institution Frost & Sullivan said China is set to become the world's largest economy by 2025, with a nominal GDP value of $38 trillion.

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