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HK's Q3 GDP suggests bottoming out of slowdown: experts (3)

(Xinhua)

11:57, November 17, 2012

Over the same period, average employment earnings for the lowest decile of full-time employees rose appreciably further by 7. 2 percent in nominal terms, or 5.2 percent in real terms.

On the external front, while there has been some stabilization of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis following the recent policy actions by the European authorities, economic growth and sentiments in Europe have remained subdued. In the United States, recent economic data have been more positive, though with the outlook still overcast by the looming fiscal cliff. Against this background, Hong Kong's trading environment is still subject to a high degree of uncertainty.

Nevertheless, activity in Chinese Mainland economy has shown signs of re-acceleration in the more recent months, which should lend support to intra-regional trade going forward.

The latest Quarterly Business Tendency Survey indicated that the trade-related sectors remained generally cautious towards the near-term business outlook, yet sentiments in the domestic-related sectors were somewhat more upbeat. Domestically, consumption demand is expected to stay steady under the support of higher incomes over the past year. Also, large-scale infrastructure works and private building activity should continue apace, thereby rendering continued momentum to domestic demand.

Hong Kong Government Economist Helen Chan said that having regard to the outturn of a subdued 1 percent year-on-year real GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2012, and in cognizance of possibly some relative improvement in the fourth quarter, the GDP growth forecast for 2012 is slightly revised to 1.2 percent, from the earlier range forecast of 1 percent to 2 percent in the August round.


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Email|Print|Comments(Editor:黄蓓蓓、张洪宇)

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