Latest News:  

English>>Business

News Analysis: Investors bullish on U.S. dollar in Q2 (3)

By Yang Qi (Xinhua)

14:11, March 31, 2013

Meanwhile, it' s almost a market consensus that the Japanese yen would sharply depreciate against the dollar in the second quarter of the year.

The yen showed obvious declining trend since last November when the newly elected Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was campaigning for the position and won supports by playing the card of revitalizing the economy.

Abe has been inclined to pressure the Bank of Japan to launch more easing measures to fight the deflation which has lasted for two decades in the country. He also replaced the former BOJ governor Masaaki Shirakawa, who is known as reluctant to implement loose monetary policy, with Haruhiko Kuroda.

Kuroda has repeatedly said that the central bank would do whatever it takes to reach the 2 percent inflation target and investors expect him to take real actions after his first BOJ policy meeting in early April.

"Obviously, the BOJ has disappointed expectations but given the determination and resolution of the new decision markers to reflate the economy, I think the risk is that they will actually for a change do more what the market expects them to do," said Longis.

The Oppenheimer currency analysts team predict the yen can continue its downward trend aggressively throughout the year and the dollar/ yen rate could be higher than 100 by the middle of year.

Meanwhile, the confirmation that Britain's GDP fell by 0.3 percent in the final quarter of 2012 raised speculations that the country' s policymakers would take more aggressive easing moves, which will pull down the pound' s rate versus the dollar.

At the end of 2012, GDP sank and the trade deficit shot up to 9.6 billion pounds in the final quarter, up from 8.1 billion pounds in the preceding three months, and such poor performance will continue in the first quarter of 2013, said Glenn Uniacke, the head of options trading at Moneycorp.

"The chances of a triple dip recession just crept up from 50-50 to odds on. Such concerns have weighed heavily on sterling," he said.


【1】 【2】 【3】

Email|Print|Comments(Editor:LiQian、Hongyu)

Related Reading

Leave your comment0 comments

  1. Name

  

Selections for you


  1. Knight Festival opens in Berlin

  2. Cherry blossoms bloom in Vancouver

  3. Patrol ship around Huangyan Islands

  4. Waterfowls seen in Three Gorges Reservoir

  5. Rescuers still searching for survivors in Tibet landslide

  6. Body found after Tibet landslide buries 83

  7. Beauties in China Fashion Week

  8. 10th anniversary of Leslie Cheung's death

  9. Detailed property curbs in Beijing, Shanghai

  10. New York Int'l Auto Show kicks off

Most Popular

Opinions

  1. Xi's visit starts new era of China-Africa relations
  2. Opinion: It's high time to stop hijacking Tibetans
  3. Significant risks remain for global economy:BRICS
  4. BRICS summit offers bright sunrise
  5. Western leaders learned nothing from Iraq disaster
  6. Home prices thwarts people's 'Chinese dream'

What’s happening in China

Exhibition marks 10th anniversary of Leslie Cheung's death

  1. Troops, police assist Tibet landslide rescue
  2. Minibus falls off cliff in C China, killing 6
  3. Emergency response to Tibet landslide
  4. Guangxi truck overturning kills child, injures 6
  5. Central China school attack suspect prosecuted