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Poll predicts overall majority for Popular Party in Spanish election


13:58, November 14, 2011

MADRID, Nov. 13 (Xinhua) -- Spain's opinion poll published on Sunday just a week away from the general election pointed to an overall majority for the opposition Popular Party (PP) and a crushing defeat for the ruling Socialist Party (PSOE).

The results published in the El Pais newspaper give the PP 45.4 percent of the votes with the PSOE expected to poll just 30.9 percent.

When those percentages are translated into seats, the PP would win 192 to 196 seats in the parliament with the PSOE seeing between 110 and 113 members elected.

As a result, the PSOE appears to be heading for its worst election performance since the end of the era of General Franco in 1975.

The PP, on the other hand, will win an overall majority, with which it will be able to carry out its electoral program without the need to pact with other parties of the country, according to the poll.

Figures have changed little since the last poll were published a week ago, showing that the head-to-head debate last Monday between PP candidate Mariano Rajoy and Socialist Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba has done nothing to alter the panorama.

The opinion poll predicts that the Catalan nationalist party Convergence and Union (CiU) will be the third largest parliamentary group. CiU sees its votes increase at the expense of the PSOE.

Izquierda Unida (IU) also benefits from the public's dissatisfaction with the PSOE's last term in office, which ends with unemployment close to the five million mark and the economy beginning to once again stagnate as a result of the fiscal reforms introduced over the last 18 months to help bring down Spain's deficit.

The IU will see its number of representatives rise from three to 11 and the left wing party will push hard in the last days of the campaign to capture the votes of former socialist voters who are worried that the PP has been far from clear in what it will do to tackle the economic crisis.

In the Basque Country, the socialists again lose ground to the PP and the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV), but the most interesting effect is the rise of the radical nationalist coalition Amaiur, which looks to be on course to have three or four members elected.

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