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Thomas Barnett recommends US never go to war with China (10)

20:07, June 13, 2010

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A White Paper for the Presidents of America and China that was delivered to the US Ambassador to China on November 1, 2009 is being posted now on the Internet. It presented ten new key questions for President Obama in formulating his China policies. The White Paper's first question is does President Obama believe that for America to win China must lose as many US policymakers do? He addressed this saying "There is room for us both" at the press conference following his November 17-18, 2009 meetings with President Hu Jintao.

The second question is whether he believes that protecting America's economic and national security require that America prepare for and conduct war with China? Many US policymakers and US trade, foreign and military strategies towards China are based on the assumption that the US must do so. Are US policymakers going to raise taxes or borrow the money from China to prepare for and conduct such a war?

The third question is does President Obama believe that many existing American policies towards China undermine America's economic and national security? The White Paper cites as an example, that US policy is to prevent Chinese oil companies from buying American oil companies, prevent China from interfering with America's sources of oil and acquiring oil from nations America disapproves of such as Iran. This approach seeks to be win-win only for America and is not realistic. America and China, the two largest economies, consume more oil than they produce. Many US policymakers today believe that this makes war between the two nations inevitable.

It means exactly the opposite. The two nations that consume 42 percent of the world's oil must be both economic and military allies, aligning their economic and national security in a new era of peaceful coexistence, or neither will have the oil they require. It benefits no nation for oil to vary in price from 47 to 147 US dollars a barrel. Collaborating America and China could stabilize the price of oil at a price of 65 to 70 US dollars a barrel benefiting all nations and militarily and economically ensure the peace that is essential for steady oil production and transportation globally. The US and China entering a new era of really collaboration, because they both recognized they will never go to war, would change the Iran and other issues profoundly.

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The articles in this column represent the author's views only. They do not represent opinions of People's Daily or People's Daily Online.

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John Milligan-Whyte and Dai Min are the executive producers and co-hosts of the Collaboration of Civilizations television series adapted by the eight books they wrote in the America-China Partnership Book Series published in English and Mandarin in 2009-2010. They founded the America-China Partnership Foundation and Forum in 2008 and the Center for America-China Partnership in 2005. E-mail: [email protected]