When six Foreign Ministers from the five UN Permanent Members Britain, China, France, Russia and the US and Germany met in New York on Monday, Iranian government spokesman Gholam-Hussein Elham revealed that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad has sent a letter to US President George W. Bush via Swiss Embassy in Tehran proposing a new strategy for the nuclear standstill. International crude oil price fell immediately. Analysts believe that with the increasing international pressure, Iran still has a card to play.
Although the tense atmosphere about Iranian nuclear issue reminds people of the international situation before Iraq War, the competition between Iran and the US and other parties is still not out of control. The main reason is that various parties don't like to see the worst happen. Insisting on the right of using nuclear energy peacefully is the bottom line of the Iranian stance. If it really inflicts economic sanctions or even military strike, the consequences will definitely not be conducive to Iranian national interest. Therefore, whenever the new round of conflict escalates, Iran will take some new measures to alleviate or compromise to some extend. Apparently it still takes a hard-line stance in words, but plays with the soft card.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Hamid-Reza Assefi accused the countries who submit the draft resolution on Iranian nuclear issue to the UN has political motivation. No doubt, political motivation does exist. But the subtle fact is that the US didn't directly submit its resolution. France and Britain, backed by the United States, on Wednesday proposed a new draft resolution to the UN Security Council demanding Iran suspend all enrichment activities immediately or face possible sanctions.
The draft invokes Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, under which the council can resort to economic or diplomatic sanctions, or even military action, to ensure its decisions are implemented.
It's so obvious that such content has paved the way for the US to take strategic options either to deter or mediate.
As the only superpower in the world, if it were a few years ago when the unilateralism was on the rise, if the US really wanted to use military means, why should they make such a roundabout? This shows that the US does not like to resort to arms easily. Iran is not Iraq and its situation is not the same as Iraq in 2003. Today's US is neither the US before the Iraq War who bragged to be able to win wars in several parts of the world simultaneously. Now it feels its limitations.
Former US President Jimmy Carter's National Security Advisor assistant Zbigniew Brzezinski has warned recently that to attack Iran will cause catastrophe to the whole world. The US has many reasons not to take initiative air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities as Iranian nuclear threat is not impending. Iran's reaction will make the US fall into the mire of war for more than 10 years and the increase of oil price will bring serious negative impact to world economy including that of the US. If the US takes military action against Iran, it will be more vulnerable to become the target of terrorists. Even worse, the stupid political action of striking Iran will arouse hostility from the whole world towards America and the epoch which is dominated by the US will come to an end ahead of schedule. No matter the White House will take these words or not, this is not an exaggeration.
Thus, analysts hold that although the stances on the Iranian nuclear issue are very different for different parties, to avoid the war, they have to compromise and they should. The meeting of six foreign ministers in New York, although failing to reach consensus, proves that the international community is still making efforts to solve the Iranian nuclear issue through peaceful means. This option is not just out of kindness, but it is doomed to be so. This will maximize the interests of various parties and be conducive to the world and regional peace and stability. If the world war comes again, it will be good to nobody.
By People's Daily Online