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UPDATED: 09:28, July 23, 2004
58% Taiwan people believe independence will trigger war, poll
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The Taiwan Business Weekly published on July 22 results of a poll on local people's views on the cross-Straits situation. Mr. Zhu Yunhan, general advisor of the magazine and a professor from the "National Taiwan University", pointed out that 58 percent local people believe that a war is unavoidable if the island declares independence; and 60 percent believe that Taiwan would be totally incapable of defending if the United States doesn't send troops to help.

In the poll the local public was firstly questioned about the possibility of a cross-Straits war, Taiwan media reported. Among Taiwan people 64 percent don't believe a war will break out in coming three years, but the percentage dropped to 38 percent if Chen Shui-bian authority declares the formulation of "new constitution" in 2006, and further slid to 21 percent if Taiwan declares independence. Judging from this, in the mind of nearly 60 percent of the local population, "independence" is the cause of war.

Besides, the poll also showed that once a war breaks out, 52 percent believe the United States would send troops to help; and nearly 60 percent think that the island is totally defenseless if the United States don't help, among them those of higher education degree took a large proportion.

Asked "if Taiwan declares independence in a democratic way, and the mainland decides to attack Taiwan", 47 percent people don't support going to war with the mainland in order to maintain the island's "democracy and independence", while 34 percent support the war. A surprising result is that if Taiwan faces a war because of independence, nearly half of social elite support going to war for "democracy and independence".

By People's Daily Online

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