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Israel shows concern amid Middle East turmoil (2)

By Chen Keqin (Guangming Daily)

16:33, December 16, 2011

Some analysts believe that the "Arab Spring" may stimulate national sentiment. Others believe there will not be a third Palestinian uprising, or Intifada, against Israel, and the "Arab Spring" has a limited impact for Pakistan and Israel. Others believe that Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan are all long-term allies to the United States in the Middle East, and the United States will feel awkward for the deterioration in their relations with Israel and will mediate and facilitate reconciliation.

Some experts believe that, historically, this symbolizes the revival of the Arab nation entering into a new era of Islamic democracy. In the Arab heyday, it stretched its hands into the continents of Asia, Africa and Europe and had an important impact on global trade, science and culture. After World War II, the Arab world set off a wave of national liberation and democratic revolution.

In the 1970s, the Arab world witnessed a trend toward Islamic revival, which tried to achieve national rejuvenation by religion and caused the emergence of the Iranian Islamic revolution, the "base" of other extremist groups with plans for terrorism in the West.

Arabs seek national revival with a broad social base. This process will be a long struggle due to the West’s intervention and pursuit of interests coupled with continuous Middle East turmoil.

The future is complex and full of uncertainties and unexpected events. Israel cannot do without the United States in the Middle East, but it must be more flexible in discussions with the Arab countries. In sensitive periods of upheaval, Israel should be low key and plan ahead for the worst-case scenario.

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